| Mean absolute percentage error | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DNK | ESP | FIN | FRATNP | GBR_SCO | NOR | SWE | ||||||||
| F | M | F | M | F | M | F | M | F | M | F | M | F | M | |
| 3-year avg. weekly deaths | 2.3 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 2.9 |
| 3-year avg. weekly mortality | 2.2 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 3.7 | 3.2 | 4.1 |
| 5-year avg. weekly deaths | 1.7 | 3.0 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 2.7 |
| 5-year avg. weekly mortality | 2.5 | 4.5 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 4.0 | 5.2 | 2.3 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 6.7 | 3.8 | 6.0 |
| CODA-ALR centered deaths | 2.2 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.1 |
| CODA-ALR centered mortality | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 3.9 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| CODA-ILR centered deaths | 2.2 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.1 |
| CODA-ILR centered mortality | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 3.9 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| Serfling-Poisson GLM | 3.3 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 2.3 |
| Serfling-Poisson GLM (no exposures) | 3.2 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.3 |
| Lowest error bold, highest error italic. | ||||||||||||||
| Mean absolute count error | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DNK | ESP | FIN | FRATNP | GBR_SCO | NOR | SWE | ||||||||
| F | M | F | M | F | M | F | M | F | M | F | M | F | M | |
| 3-year avg. weekly deaths | 205 | 274 | 1,632 | 1,602 | 186 | 160 | 3,305 | 2,364 | 149 | 230 | 133 | 124 | 427 | 405 |
| 3-year avg. weekly mortality | 193 | 296 | 1,447 | 1,440 | 274 | 263 | 2,159 | 1,858 | 191 | 217 | 150 | 233 | 467 | 556 |
| 5-year avg. weekly deaths | 154 | 270 | 2,081 | 1,446 | 164 | 145 | 3,390 | 2,334 | 203 | 300 | 104 | 165 | 427 | 375 |
| 5-year avg. weekly mortality | 213 | 392 | 1,519 | 1,755 | 341 | 440 | 2,158 | 2,839 | 228 | 222 | 151 | 417 | 543 | 815 |
| CODA-ALR centered deaths | 194 | 242 | 961 | 1,189 | 257 | 139 | 3,485 | 2,120 | 304 | 214 | 150 | 159 | 361 | 289 |
| CODA-ALR centered mortality | 175 | 204 | 1,324 | 1,487 | 337 | 235 | 2,797 | 1,990 | 270 | 250 | 162 | 156 | 364 | 254 |
| CODA-ILR centered deaths | 194 | 242 | 961 | 1,189 | 257 | 139 | 3,485 | 2,120 | 304 | 214 | 150 | 159 | 361 | 289 |
| CODA-ILR centered mortality | 175 | 204 | 1,324 | 1,487 | 337 | 235 | 2,797 | 1,990 | 270 | 250 | 162 | 156 | 364 | 254 |
| Serfling-Poisson GLM | 284 | 358 | 1,486 | 1,408 | 246 | 152 | 2,558 | 1,980 | 206 | 253 | 114 | 147 | 375 | 320 |
| Serfling-Poisson GLM (no exposures) | 280 | 341 | 1,471 | 1,249 | 287 | 169 | 2,408 | 1,938 | 235 | 247 | 110 | 153 | 369 | 313 |
| Lowest error bold, highest error italic. | ||||||||||||||
| Mean percentage error (Bias) | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DNK | ESP | FIN | FRATNP | GBR_SCO | NOR | SWE | ||||||||
| F | M | F | M | F | M | F | M | F | M | F | M | F | M | |
| 3-year avg. weekly deaths | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 0.2 | −0.0 | −1.0 | −0.6 |
| 3-year avg. weekly mortality | −0.7 | −2.1 | −1.1 | −1.3 | −1.9 | −3.0 | 0.1 | −1.4 | −0.6 | −0.9 | −0.9 | −3.5 | −2.2 | −3.7 |
| 5-year avg. weekly deaths | 1.5 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 2.8 | −0.4 | −0.8 | −1.7 | −0.7 |
| 5-year avg. weekly mortality | −1.9 | −3.6 | −2.0 | −2.6 | −3.4 | −5.2 | −0.7 | −3.0 | −1.5 | −1.8 | −2.3 | −6.7 | −3.8 | −6.0 |
| CODA-ALR centered deaths | 1.7 | 0.8 | −0.0 | −0.7 | −1.0 | −0.4 | −1.6 | −0.6 | 0.1 | −0.4 | 0.9 | −0.1 | −1.4 | 0.1 |
| CODA-ALR centered mortality | 0.2 | −0.3 | −1.4 | −1.3 | −2.7 | −2.4 | −1.8 | −1.5 | −1.0 | −1.8 | 0.6 | −1.1 | −1.6 | −1.0 |
| CODA-ILR centered deaths | 1.7 | 0.8 | −0.0 | −0.7 | −1.0 | −0.4 | −1.6 | −0.6 | 0.1 | −0.4 | 0.9 | −0.1 | −1.4 | 0.1 |
| CODA-ILR centered mortality | 0.2 | −0.3 | −1.4 | −1.3 | −2.7 | −2.4 | −1.8 | −1.5 | −1.0 | −1.8 | 0.6 | −1.1 | −1.6 | −1.0 |
| Serfling-Poisson GLM | 2.9 | 2.5 | −0.4 | 0.2 | −1.5 | −0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | −1.0 | −1.5 | −0.9 |
| Serfling-Poisson GLM (no exposures) | 3.1 | 2.3 | −1.4 | −0.6 | −2.7 | −1.6 | −1.1 | −0.8 | −0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | −1.0 | −1.5 | −0.6 |
| Lowest error bold, highest error italic. | ||||||||||||||
| Mean absolute percentage error | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DNK | ESP | FIN | FRATNP | GBR_SCO | NOR | SWE | ||||||||
| F | M | F | M | F | M | F | M | F | M | F | M | F | M | |
| 3-year avg. weekly deaths | 5.6 | 5.6 | 4.3 | 3.7 | 6.4 | 5.9 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 6.3 | 6.0 | 6.1 | 5.7 | 5.5 | 5.4 |
| 3-year avg. weekly mortality | 5.7 | 6.3 | 4.4 | 3.7 | 6.9 | 6.5 | 4.1 | 3.8 | 6.3 | 6.0 | 6.2 | 6.8 | 5.8 | 6.6 |
| 5-year avg. weekly deaths | 5.4 | 5.3 | 4.4 | 3.5 | 5.9 | 5.7 | 4.7 | 3.7 | 6.0 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 5.0 |
| 5-year avg. weekly mortality | 5.7 | 6.5 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 7.1 | 7.4 | 3.9 | 4.4 | 6.1 | 6.1 | 6.0 | 8.3 | 6.2 | 7.5 |
| CODA-ALR centered deaths | 5.3 | 5.5 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 6.6 | 5.9 | 5.4 | 3.9 | 7.4 | 5.7 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.1 | 4.6 |
| CODA-ALR centered mortality | 5.4 | 5.3 | 3.8 | 3.6 | 6.8 | 6.2 | 4.9 | 3.9 | 6.8 | 5.8 | 5.6 | 6.2 | 5.2 | 4.7 |
| CODA-ILR centered deaths | 5.3 | 5.5 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 6.6 | 5.9 | 5.4 | 3.9 | 7.4 | 5.7 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.1 | 4.6 |
| CODA-ILR centered mortality | 5.4 | 5.3 | 3.8 | 3.6 | 6.8 | 6.2 | 4.9 | 3.9 | 6.8 | 5.8 | 5.6 | 6.2 | 5.2 | 4.7 |
| Serfling-Poisson GLM | 5.1 | 5.1 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 5.7 | 4.8 | 3.7 | 3.1 | 5.6 | 5.4 | 4.7 | 4.9 | 4.7 | 4.5 |
| Serfling-Poisson GLM (no exposures) | 5.1 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 6.1 | 5.1 | 3.8 | 3.2 | 5.6 | 5.3 | 4.7 | 4.9 | 4.6 | 4.4 |
| Lowest error bold, highest error italic. | ||||||||||||||
| Mean percentage error (Bias) | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DNK | ESP | FIN | FRATNP | GBR_SCO | NOR | SWE | ||||||||
| F | M | F | M | F | M | F | M | F | M | F | M | F | M | |
| 3-year avg. weekly deaths | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | −0.0 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1.4 | −0.1 | −0.3 | −1.3 | −0.9 |
| 3-year avg. weekly mortality | −1.0 | −2.4 | −1.2 | −1.4 | −2.4 | −3.4 | −0.0 | −1.6 | −1.0 | −1.3 | −1.2 | −3.8 | −2.6 | −4.0 |
| 5-year avg. weekly deaths | 1.2 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 2.4 | −0.8 | −1.1 | −2.1 | −1.0 |
| 5-year avg. weekly mortality | −2.2 | −4.0 | −2.1 | −2.7 | −3.9 | −5.6 | −0.9 | −3.1 | −2.0 | −2.2 | −2.7 | −7.0 | −4.1 | −6.3 |
| CODA-ALR centered deaths | 1.4 | 0.5 | −0.1 | −0.7 | −1.4 | −0.8 | −1.6 | −0.7 | −0.3 | −0.7 | 0.6 | −0.4 | −1.7 | −0.1 |
| CODA-ALR centered mortality | −0.2 | −0.6 | −1.4 | −1.4 | −3.2 | −2.8 | −2.0 | −1.6 | −1.4 | −2.2 | 0.3 | −1.4 | −1.9 | −1.4 |
| CODA-ILR centered deaths | 1.4 | 0.5 | −0.1 | −0.7 | −1.4 | −0.8 | −1.6 | −0.7 | −0.3 | −0.7 | 0.6 | −0.4 | −1.7 | −0.1 |
| CODA-ILR centered mortality | −0.2 | −0.6 | −1.4 | −1.4 | −3.2 | −2.8 | −2.0 | −1.6 | −1.4 | −2.2 | 0.3 | −1.4 | −1.9 | −1.4 |
| Serfling-Poisson GLM | 2.6 | 2.2 | −0.5 | 0.1 | −1.9 | −0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | −0.4 | 0.6 | −0.0 | −1.3 | −1.9 | −1.2 |
| Serfling-Poisson GLM (no exposures) | 2.7 | 2.0 | −1.5 | −0.7 | −3.1 | −2.0 | −1.2 | −0.9 | −0.8 | −0.3 | −0.1 | −1.3 | −1.9 | −0.9 |
| Lowest error bold, highest error italic. | ||||||||||||||